Candlesticks
In the 1600s the Japanese developed a method of technical analysis to study the prices of futures contracts on rice. This technique is called candlestick chart analysis. Its popularity is a credit to Steve Nison, which has become the most respected expert in the interpretation of candlestick charts.
Candlesticks should be used as a tool in decision making and are not attached to rigid rules. They are most valuable when coupled with change of trend indicators. For example, a stochastic declining following the appearance of a hangman in a Volatile Market.
The two basic rules:
1. Analyze the emergence of a candlestick in a price trend that precedes it. For example, a candlestick reversal pattern will not have the same impact in an upward or downward trend, as in a congestion phase.
2. Always wait for a confirmation from the next pattern. For example, the appearance of a candlestick reversal pattern in an upward movement indicates that a change of trend will likely occur. The next pattern should confirm the trend reversal.
What is Harami?
A "Harami" is a deceleration of momentum. It appears when a line with a small body holds within a larger body. This type of pattern is a strong indication that the trend may be reversing.
1.
The Bullish Harami: is a downtrend negative-coloured (red or black) candlestick engulfing a smaller positive coloured candlestick (green or white), giving a signal of reversal in the downtrend. The smaller the second candlestick, the more likely the reversal.
2.
The bearish Harami: may be formed from a combination of a large candlestick and a smaller candlestick. The smaller the second candlestick, the more likely the reversal. It is thought to be a strong sign that a trend is ending when a large (green or white) candlestick is followed by a small (red or black) candlestick.
Example of a bearish Harami: The trend for EURUSD on the 22nd May is bullish, with a high of 1.4051 and low at 1.3890. As the extremes of the day on 25 May 2009 are between the extremes of 1.4051 and 1.3890, a Harami is present. As it is placed at the top of a trend, it may signal a reversal:
Emman Xuereb
RTFX Ltd
Head Office
Level 2, Suite 2, The Cornerstone Complex, 16th September Square | Mosta MST 1180 | Malta
Tel: +356 23 31 00 00
Fax: +356 21 41 24 58
Web:
www.rtfx.com
This message and any attachments (the "message") are intended solely for the addressees and are confidential. If you receive this message in error, please delete it and immediately notify the sender. Any use not in accordance with its purpose, any dissemination or disclosure, either whole or partial, is prohibited except with formal approval. The internet cannot guarantee the integrity of this message. RTFX Ltd (and its subsidiaries) shall (will) not therefore be liable for the message if modified. Do not print this message unless it is necessary, consider the environment. RTFX Ltd holds a Category 3 license issued by the Malta Financial Services Authority.