Stocks and "carry trades" increase, due to optimism towards new american measures.

[RTFX-Trading]

What's new:

Geithner: The money for bank bailout is at the moment sufficient.
Feldstein: The recession in the US could last well into 2010.
Obama: Urges the G20 leaders to act fast to stimulate growth.
Trichet: Sees further interest rate cuts.

Today:

08h45 France: Houshold consumption
08h50 France: Business Climate
08h58 France: French PMI
09h28 Germany: German PMI
09h58 Eurozone: Euro PMI
10h00 Eurozone: Balance of Payments
10h30 UK: Consumer Price Index CPI
15h00 United States: Speech by FED president Bernanke and Treasury secretary Geitner.
15h00 United States: Richmond Fed Index

Overnight Ranges & Indices:

EURUSD: 1.3567 - 1.3679
USDCHF: 1.1208 - 1.1273
GBPUSD: 1.4522 - 1.4734
USDJPY: 96.92 - 98.56
DowJones: 7775 + 6.8%
Nasdaq: 1555 + 6.8%
Nikkei: 8488 +3.3%
Gold: $939
Crude oil: $53.69

Comment:

The markets rose yesterday after comments left by Geithner from the US treasury. The stocks showed impressive gains:
The DowJones posted its best performance of the year, the NasDaq registered its 5th best increase alltime. In the banking sector, significant gains for Citigroup +19, 47%, JP Morgan +24,01% and BoA +26,01%.

This latest intervention by the Americans induced the traders to take long positions on 'Carry Trades': The currencies like australian dollar, new-zealand dollar and to a lesser extent the British pound and euro are the most requested, with the consequence that the Yen and Swiss Franc are under pressure.

The EURUSD, formed a triple top at 1.3720-40, and traders will be looking to sell or take profits at this area. Further lower, buyers are waiting for the price to be in the range 1.3470-1.3520. My opinion is that there will be a rise towards 1.4050-1.4250. However, a break of 1.3450 will put this view in serious question.

Good Day.

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